Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 3.218957 3.464682 3.730341 4.040737 4.395844 4.792357 5.272791
2026-02-01 2.763281 3.076100 3.434255 3.880558 4.430514 5.098361 5.991204
2026-02-08 2.462425 2.793203 3.184473 3.690953 4.344343 5.182234 6.381140
2026-02-15 2.300044 2.650713 3.077227 3.648077 4.415714 5.451862 7.037308
2026-02-22 2.153152 2.511275 2.956200 3.567382 4.416993 5.613415 7.553463
2026-03-01 2.011353 2.366572 2.814874 3.442863 4.338381 5.642310 7.859615
2026-03-08 1.876911 2.222518 2.663725 3.290791 4.202302 5.564011 7.968316
2026-03-15 1.812837 2.165317 2.622410 3.285197 4.274947 5.809051 8.673312
2026-03-22 1.751365 2.107611 2.575932 3.267103 4.324514 6.020040 9.359330
2026-03-29 1.693354 2.051231 2.527395 3.241318 4.357792 6.205309 10.036042
2026-04-05 1.682872 2.057839 2.565490 3.344420 4.603149 6.789206 11.712754
2026-04-12 1.645889 2.026037 2.547091 3.360002 4.705651 7.129647 12.960822
2026-04-19 1.701635 2.130924 2.738584 3.729624 5.482438 8.991260 19.395002
2026-04-26 1.608981 2.022076 2.610763 3.579985 5.319273 8.886245 20.032668
2026-05-03 1.519905 1.914438 2.479079 3.414338 5.108425 8.637930 20.063693
2026-05-10 1.470215 1.861422 2.426821 3.376504 5.134682 8.937877 22.378434
2026-05-17 1.416141 1.799677 2.357964 3.305365 5.088045 9.056040 24.103956
2026-05-24 1.356358 1.727379 2.269659 3.195332 4.953605 8.933674 24.693756
2026-05-31 1.294153 1.649611 2.170022 3.060540 4.758690 8.629947 24.246268
2026-06-07 1.266221 1.621443 2.146124 3.055572 4.826323 9.019861 27.796190
2026-06-14 1.237478 1.590969 2.117127 3.039502 4.869039 9.355144 31.605667
2026-06-21 1.208898 1.559726 2.085504 3.016589 4.894712 9.650912 35.771775
2026-06-28 1.206513 1.567651 2.116346 3.108128 5.179198 10.797466 50.221804